The Reliability Score for Every Market
A real-time 0–100 market integrity score that reveals the true quality, stability, and trustworthiness behind every price.
Market Integrity Analysis
Target: FED_RATE_DEC_2024
What Is the Integrity Engine?
Integrity Engine is WagerKit's real-time quantitative model that evaluates how reliable and manipulation-free a prediction market is. It converts billions of data points into a single integrity score.
Is this market trustworthy?
Are prices stable?
Is liquidity strong?
Is someone manipulating?
Can analysts rely on this?
Why It Matters
Prediction markets look simple — but underneath they are highly volatile, prone to manipulation, and sensitive to bad news.
- Vulnerable to low liquidity
- Influenced by whales
- Mispriced across platforms
- Sensitive to flash crashes
Core Components of the Integrity Score
1. Liquidity Depth Analysis
Understands order book strength, spread tightness, volume density, and slippage resistance. Identifies fragile markets.
2. Volatility Stability Layer
Tracks price jumps, flash micro-movements, whiplash volatility, and abnormal reversals. Detects short-term shocks.
3. Historical Pattern Model
Compares live movements with long-term patterns to flag unusual correlations and inconsistent price structures.
4. Manipulation Probability
Flags behaviors like whale spoofing, volume attacks, pump-and-reverse, and spread widening tactics.
5. Market Clarity Score
Rates clarity of market rules, resolution conditions, and data sources. Markets with vague rules score lower.